000
ABPZ20 KNHC 282321
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Aug 28 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure centered about a few hundred miles
south-southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing widespread
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
are forecast to be conducive for development, and this system is
expected to become a tropical cyclone within the next couple of days
while it moves generally northward or northwestward near the coast
of southwestern Mexico and Baja California Sur.  Residents in those
areas should monitor the progress of this system, and tropical
storm watches could be required for a portion of the area on
Tuesday.  Regardless of development, very heavy rain is expected in
southwestern Mexico and Baja California Sur over the next few days
and could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts