000
ABPZ20 KNHC 180553
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Jul 17 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Fernanda located well to the west-southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Depression Seven-E
located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.

Satellite images indicate that showers and thunderstorms continue
to become better organized in association with a low pressure
system located about 750 miles southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California.  Although upper-level winds are currently only
marginally conducive for development, only a small increase in the
organization of this system could lead to the formation of a
tropical depression at any time. This disturbance is expected to
move slowly westward or west-southwestward during the next few
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Another area of low pressure is expected to form in the eastern
Pacific Ocean south of Mexico late this week. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some development of the system this
the weekend while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi