000
ABPZ20 KNHC 142323
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Jul 14 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Fernanda, located well to the southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

A broad low pressure system centered a few hundred miles southwest
of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing a large but disorganized
area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are
forecast to be somewhat conducive for gradual development, and a
tropical depression could form by early next week while the system
moves slowly toward the west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Disorganized cloudiness and showers located several hundred miles
southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico are associated with a trough of low
pressure.  Development, if any, of this system is expected to be
slow to occur as the system moves west-northwestward at about 10
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake