000
ABPZ20 KNHC 042339
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Jul 4 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure
area located about 550 miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula has become a little better organized
during the afternoon, but satellite data indicates that a
well-defined circulation does not yet exist. This system still has
the potential to become a tropical depression during the next day or
two before it moves westward into a less favorable environment.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of
Acapulco, Mexico is producing widespread showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for gradual
development, and this system is likely to become a tropical
depression late this week or this weekend while the disturbance
moves generally westward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Another area of disturbed weather is located over the far eastern
North Pacific, a few hundred miles south of the coast of El
Salvador.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow to
occur, due in part to its close proximity to the disturbance to
the west.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky