000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121154 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 400 AM PST SAT NOV 12 2016 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 450 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing gusty winds to the northeast of the center. Although the associated shower activity has increased since yesterday, it remains disorganized due to strong upper-level winds. These unfavorable winds are expected to continue affecting the low during the next day or two while the system moves slowly north-northeastward. Even though tropical cyclone development is unlikely, this system could produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds over portions of southwestern and central Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent $$ Forecaster Cangialosi