000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211741
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI OCT 21 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south-
southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a broad
area of low pressure.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be
generally conducive for development of this disturbance over the
next few days, and a tropical depression will likely form early next
week while the system moves toward the west-northwest at about 10 to
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Cloudiness and showers associated with a small low pressure area
centered about 775 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula have decreased since yesterday.  Any
development of this system is expected to be slow to occur before
upper-level winds become too strong for formation this weekend.
This system is expected to drift northward or northwestward over the
next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake