000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191152
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A low pressure area located about 1250 miles east-southeast of the
Big Island of Hawaii continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are forecast to become less
conducive for development during the next day or so, and significant
development of this system appears unlikely while it moves westward
at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

Cloudiness and thunderstorms located about 750 miles south-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
associated with a broad area of low pressure.  Although upper-level
winds are only marginally conducive, some development of this system
is possible during the next several days while the disturbance
drifts northward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern Pacific
near Central America are associated with a surface trough.
Environmental conditions are forecast to become more favorable for
some development of this disturbance over the weekend while the
system moves toward the west-northwest at about 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake