000
ABPZ20 KNHC 182319
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE OCT 18 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A low pressure system located about 1325 miles east-southeast of
the Big Island of Hawaii continues to produce disorganized
showers and thunderstorms.  Development, if any, of this system
is expected to be slow to occur during the next day or so before
environmental conditions become less conducive.  The low is forecast
to move west-southwestward at about 10 mph during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

A weak low pressure system located about 825 miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a
large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Upper-level
winds are only marginally conducive and any development of this
system should be slow to occur during the next several days while
the low drifts northward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days well to
the south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Some gradual development of
this disturbance is possible over the weekend while the system moves
to the west-northwest at about 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown