000
ABPZ20 KNHC 101740
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON OCT 10 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A complex area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce widespread clouds and scattered thunderstorms.  This
disturbance is expected to slowly consolidate during the next couple
of days while moving west-northwestward to northwestward, and a
tropical depression could form around mid-week.  After that time,
environmental conditions are expected to gradually become less
conducive for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

Disorganized cloudiness and shower activity located a few hundred
miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, are associated with a
weak low pressure system.  Environmental conditions are expected to
generally be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form later this week while the low moves west-
northwestward well to the southwest of mainland Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain