000 ABPZ20 KNHC 091149 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT SUN OCT 9 2016 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of showers and thunderstorms, extending from several hundred miles south through southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, is associated with a trough of low pressure. This disturbance is expected to gradually consolidate during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while moving west-northwestward to northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is located a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of El Salvador and Guatemala. Environmental conditions are expected to generally be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while this system moves westward and then west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent $$ Forecaster Kimberlain