000
ABPZ20 KNHC 082350
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT OCT 8 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, extending
from several hundred miles south through southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula, is associated with a trough of
low pressure.  Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive
for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form
by the early or middle part of next week while this system moves
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is centered a few
hundred miles west of Costa Rica.  Upper-level winds are
expected to become conducive for development in a couple of days,
and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of next
week while this system moves westward and then west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake