000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241729 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT SAT SEP 24 2016 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with a large low pressure system located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Sur. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression will likely form later today or Sunday. This disturbance is expected to move slowly northward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent An area of low pressure located about 1500 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for some development of this disturbance by early next week. This system is expected to move west-northwestward during the next few days and then turn northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent $$ Forecaster Cangialosi