000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201124
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE SEP 20 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Paine, located a couple hundred miles west of the Baja
California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
located about 750 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.
Although cloudiness and showers associated with this system are
currently disorganized, environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for some gradual development during the next several days.
The low is expected to move generally westward at around 10 mph for
the next couple of days, and then turn northwestward and then
northward later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan