000 ABPZ20 KNHC 200536 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT MON SEP 19 2016 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Storm Paine, located a few hundred miles west of the Baja California peninsula. A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave has formed several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Although cloudiness and showers associated with this system are currently disorganized, environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development during the next several days. The low is expected to turn northwestward and then northward by later this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent $$ Forecaster Kimberlain