000
ABPZ20 KNHC 171142
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT SEP 17 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located about 400 miles south of
Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce a large area of showers
and thunderstorms.  Conditions are conducive for development, and a
tropical depression is expected to form later today or on Sunday
while this system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph a few
hundred miles offshore of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

An area of low pressure could form early next week several hundred
miles southwest of southern Mexico.  Some gradual development is
possible by midweek while the system moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven