000 ABPZ20 KNHC 162310 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT FRI SEP 16 2016 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Orlene, located well west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are occurring in association with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. This low is expected to become a tropical depression on Saturday or Sunday while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 mph, parallel to but a few hundred miles offshore of the coast of Mexico. *Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent *Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent An area of low pressure could form early next week several hundred miles southwest of southeastern Mexico. Some gradual development is possible by midweek while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. *Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent *Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent $$ Forecaster Landsea