000
ABPZ20 KNHC 150516
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED SEP 14 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Storm Orlene, located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A nearly stationary area of low pressure located several hundred
miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing minimal shower
and thunderstorm activity.  However, environmental conditions are
expected to become gradually more conducive for development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next
week while the low begins to move west-northwestward to
northwestward, parallel to the coast of Mexico.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
*Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Berg