000
ABPZ20 KNHC 030535
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI SEP 2 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure continues to produce an extensive
area of disorganized cloudiness and showers, extending several
hundred miles south through southwest of the southern coast of
Mexico. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for
development, and this disturbed weather is likely to consolidate and
become a tropical depression later this weekend or early next week.
Locally heavy rains, flash floods, and mud slides are likely in
association with this system while it moves west-northwestward or
northwestward near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico
this weekend and early next week. Interests in these areas should
monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

A weak area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a
few showers and thunderstorms.  Development of this system is
becoming less likely since the low is expected to be pulled eastward
into the circulation of the larger tropical disturbance near the
coast of Mexico later this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain