000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230538
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON AUG 22 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Kay, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.

A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms located
about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula is associated with an elongated area of
low pressure. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form later this week while the low moves west-northwestward at
around 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

A broad area of low pressure located about 350 miles south of
Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized showers and a
few thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the
next few days while this system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi