000
ABPZ20 KNHC 180543
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED AUG 17 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A well-defined low pressure system located about 350 miles southwest
of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
activity. Although strong upper-level winds are currently inhibiting
tropical cyclone formation, these winds are forecast to decrease
by the weekend.  The generally more conducive environment is likely
to result in the formation of a tropical depression during the next
day or two while this system moves generally northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain