000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141142
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN AUG 14 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A poorly organized area of disturbed weather is located about 1300
miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.  A low pressure area
could form within this disturbance during the few days, but any
further development should be slow to occur.  This system is
forecast to move generally westward into the Central Pacific basin
by Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

Satellite data indicate that a low pressure area has formed about
900 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  The
associated shower and thunderstorm activity, however, is not co-
located with the surface circulation.  Environmental conditions
are expected to be only marginally conducive for any additional
development during the next couple of days while this system moves
generally west-northwestward.  After that time, the disturbance is
likely to encounter a much drier air mass, which would likely
preclude tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain