000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011742
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON AUG 1 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Howard, located nearly 1000 miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms about 700 miles south-
southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, are associated with a broad area of
low pressure.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression is likely to form Wednesday or Thursday while the low
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain