000 ABPZ20 KNHC 302329 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT SAT JUL 30 2016 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity associated with a low pressure system centered about 800 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is gradually increasing and becoming slightly better organized. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day late or two while the low moves toward the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph. After that time, conditions are expected to be less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent A trough of low pressure is expected to form in a couple of days several hundred miles south of Mexico. Some development of this system is possible by the middle of next week while it moves west-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent $$ Forecaster Avila