000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291738
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI JUL 29 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad and elongated area
of low pressure located about 800 miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have changed little
in organization since yesterday.  However, upper-level winds are
expected to become more conducive for development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week
while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form in a couple of days
several hundred miles south of Mexico.  Some development of this
system is possible by early next week while it moves
west-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi