000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201133
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED JUL 20 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Darby, located about 1000 miles east of the Big Island of
Hawaii, and on Tropical Storm Estelle, located about 800 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located about 550 miles south-southeast
of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression is likely to form during the next few days while it moves
west-northwestward to northwestward at about 10 mph to the south of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

A weak low pressure area is located almost 1000 miles south of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  Environmental
conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for some
development of this system later this week or this weekend while it
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi