000
ABPZ20 KNHC 172334
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN JUL 17 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Darby, located over 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Estelle,
located nearly 500 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles south of
Acapulco, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and a few
thunderstorms.  Some slow development of this system is possible
later this week while it moves westward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form well south of the Gulf
of Tehuantepec in a few days.  Environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for development by mid-week, and a tropical
depression could form by late this week while it moves west-
northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake