000
ABPZ20 KNHC 111132
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON JUL 11 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Celia, located more than 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Satellite images indicate that the area of low pressure located
about 350 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, has become
better defined this morning. Associated shower and thunderstorm
activity is showing some signs of organization, and a tropical
depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the
low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph, away from the coast
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico later this week.  Some subsequent
development of this system is possible while it moves westward to
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi