000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011148
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI JUL 1 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-
southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
are forecast to be conducive for a tropical depression to form
during the next several days while the system moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower activity associated with a low pressure area several hundred
miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula has become better organized since yesterday, and
satellite wind data indicate that the circulation has become
better defined.  Some additional development of this system is
possible during the next couple days as it moves generally
westward at 10 to 15 mph.  After that time, environmental conditions
are expected to become less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven