000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161139
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU JUN 16 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo,
Mexico have changed little in organization since yesterday.
Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for some gradual
development of this system over the next couple of days, and a
tropical depression could form during the next day or two while the
disturbance moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.  Over the
weekend, however, conditions are forecast to become less conducive
for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi