000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151720
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED JUN 15 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico,
have increased since yesterday, but remain disorganized.
Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for some slow
development of this system over the next couple of days, and a
tropical depression could form later this week while the disturbance
moves west-northwestward at around 10 mph.  Over the weekend,
conditions should gradually become less conducive for tropical
cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Pasch