000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151127 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT SUN MAY 15 2016 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is associated with a weak area of low pressure. Any development of this system is expected to be slow to occur during the next couple of days while it moves westward at around 15 mph. After that time, upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent Today marks the first day of the eastern North Pacific hurricane season, which will run until November 30. Long-term averages for the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 15, 8, and 4, respectively. The list of names for 2016 is as follows: Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation ------------------------------------------------------------- Agatha A-guh-thuh Madeline MAD-eh-luhn Blas blahs Newton NOO-tuhn Celia SEEL-yuh Orlene or-LEEN Darby DAR-bee Paine payne Estelle eh-STELL Roslyn RAWZ-luhn Frank frank Seymour SEE-mor Georgette jor-JET Tina TEE-nuh Howard HOW-urd Virgil VUR-jill Ivette ee-VET Winifred WIN-ih-fred Javier hahv-YAIR Xavier ZAY-vee-ur Kay kay Yolanda yo-LAHN-da Lester LESS-tur Zeke zeek This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. The issuance times of this product are 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT. After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 4 AM, 10 AM, 4 PM, and 10 PM PST. A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks. A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected changes or to modify watches or warnings. The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of significant changes in a tropical cyclone or to post or cancel watches or warnings. It is used in lieu of or to precede the issuance of a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header WTPZ61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUEP1-5. All National Hurricane Center text and graphical products are available on the web at http://www.hurricanes.gov. You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC. Notifications are available via Twitter when select National Hurricane Center products are issued. Information about our east Pacific Twitter feed is available at http://www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brennan