000
ABPZ20 KNHC 212323
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PST SAT NOV 21 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Rick, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
south of the Guatemala/Mexico border is producing disorganized
shower and thunderstorm activity.  Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for development of this system, and a
tropical cyclone is expected to form south of the southern coast of
Mexico within the next few days while the disturbance moves westward
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi