000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211729
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PST SAT NOV 21 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Rick, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located south of the coast of Guatemala
is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Environmental conditions are expected to become conducive for
development of this system early next week, and a tropical cyclone
will likely form south of the southern coast of Mexico by the middle
of next week while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan