000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221738
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU OCT 22 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Patricia, located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of
Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south or south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula Friday or over the weekend.  Environmental conditions are
forecast to be marginally conducive for gradual development of this
system while it moves slowly toward the east-northeast or northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Roberts