000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191736
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON OCT 19 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Olaf, located about 1300 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of
Hawaii.

Satellite pictures indicate that shower and thunderstorm activity
associated with a low pressure system located about 250 miles
southeast of Puerto Escondido, Mexico, is gradually becoming better
organized. The circulation of the low also appears be better
defined than yesterday. Environmental conditions are conducive for
continued development, and a tropical depression is likely to form
during the next day or two while the low moves west-northwestward
or northwestward offshore of the coast of southeastern Mexico.
Interests along the south-central and southwestern coasts of Mexico
should monitor the progress of this system during the next few days.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over
portions of southern Mexico, Guatemala, and El Salvador during the
next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain