000 ABPZ20 KNHC 142333 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2015 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 950 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have increased and become better organized. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form tonight or on Thursday while this system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent An area of low pressure is expected to form a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec this weekend. Gradual development of this system is possible early next week while it moves slowly northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent $$ Forecaster Cangialosi