000
ABPZ20 KNHC 121133
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON OCT 12 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with a low pressure system located
about 675 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, has decreased since
yesterday and remains disorganized.  However, environmental
conditions are conducive for slow development of this system, and a
tropical depression is still likely to form by late this week while
the low moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain