000 ABPZ20 KNHC 061747 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT TUE OCT 6 2015 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a tropical wave located about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system later this week while the low moves west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent $$ Forecaster Kimberlain