000
ABPZ20 KNHC 040517
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT OCT 3 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1050 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  While some
gradual development is possible, environmental conditions are
expected to become less favorable during the next few days while
this system moves northeastward at about 5 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

The remnants of Marty, located about 175 miles west-southwest of
Cabo Corrientes, Mexico, are producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms.  Strong upper-level winds are expected
to prevent significant development of this system while it moves
north-northeastward at 15 mph toward the coast of southwestern
Mexico during the next day or so.  Regardless of development, heavy
rainfall is possible over portions of southwestern Mexico during the
next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown