000 ABPZ20 KNHC 180531 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT THU SEP 17 2015 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity associated with a large and elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed little in organization during the past 24 hours. Some gradual development of this system is possible through this weekend while it moves slowly northwestward to north-northwestward. After that time, development is less likely as the system moves over colder water. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent $$ Forecaster Beven