000
ABPZ20 KNHC 050531
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI SEP 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Kevin, located a few hundred miles west of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula.

Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization since
earlier today near a low pressure area located about 550 miles
south of Manzanillo, Mexico.  However, environmental conditions are
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form over the weekend while the low moves northwestward at 5 to 10
mph well offshore of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Berg