000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241750
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON AUG 24 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Satellite imagery indicates that the low pressure system located
about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula is slightly better defined than at this time
yesterday.  Environmental conditions are expected to remain
conducive for continued gradual development, and any further
increase in organization of this disturbance could result in the
formation of a tropical cyclone.  The low is expected to begin
moving slowly westward and then west-northwestward during the next
few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in association with
a tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the coast of
southwestern Mexico.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for slow development of this disturbance, and a tropical
depression is likely to form late this week while the system moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain