000
ABPZ20 KNHC 240517
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN AUG 23 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in
association with a low pressure area located about 1500 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive
for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form
within a few days while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Disorganized shower activity located several hundred miles south of
the coast of southwestern Mexico are associated with a tropical
wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form
late this week while this system moves west-northwestward at 10 to
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi