000
ABPZ20 KNHC 222334
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT AUG 22 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 1450 miles west-southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula remains limited.  Some gradual
development of this system is possible through early next week while
it moves westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

Another broad area of low pressure located about 1050 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers.
Some slow development of this system is possible during the
next several days while it moves northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

A low pressure area is expected to form well south of the coast of
Mexico early next week.  Environmental conditions should support
gradual development of the system while it moves west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown