000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211144
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI AUG 21 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms about 1000
miles southwest of the Baja California peninsula is associated with
a tropical wave.  Some gradual development of this system is
possible over the weekend while the disturbance moves westward at
about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

A low pressure area is expected to form well south of the coast of
Mexico early next week.  Environmental conditions should support
gradual development of the system while it moves west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Roberts