000
ABPZ20 KNHC 202339
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU AUG 20 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A tropical wave located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized
showers and a few thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are
forecast to become conducive for gradual development of this system
during the next several days while the disturbance moves westward at
about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

A low pressure area is forecast to form several hundred miles south
of the coast of Mexico early next week.  Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for subsequent slow development
of the system while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown