000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151724
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT AUG 15 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with a large area of low pressure
centered about 475 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of organization.
However, the system does not appear to have a well-defined center at
this time. Environmental conditions remain favorable for a tropical
depression to form later today or Sunday while the system moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico. By
Monday, conditions are expected to become less conducive for
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Avila