000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151124
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT AUG 15 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
centered about 500 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula continue to show signs of organization.
Environmental conditions are favorable for a tropical depression to
form later today or Sunday while the system moves west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico. By Monday, conditions
are expected to become less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Avila