000
ABPZ20 KNHC 132334
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure centered several hundred miles south-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico, have been increasing in coverage since yesterday
but remain disorganized.  Environmental conditions are conducive for
a tropical cyclone to form from this system over the weekend while
it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph well offshore the coast
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Berg