000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131724
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave
centered several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, is
producing a large but still disorganized area of showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are favorable for a tropical
cyclone to form from this system over the weekend while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph well offshore the coast of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Avila